Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 26% on 10 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2024 to 27 Feb 2024, the highest close was 69.5% on 14 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 69.5% on 14 Feb 2024. $490.79K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 11:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 10 Feb 2024 – 27 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2024 | 26.0% |
| 27 Feb 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rude-Disposer | Yes | 3.71K |
| 0xkaco | Yes | 905.28 |
| bleen | Yes | 362.65 |
| bananaman | Yes | 270 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Sotheby’s has an Ether Rock NFT for auction from February 14-21 (https://sealed.sothebys.com/ether-rock/auction). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final winning bid is successful and greater than $600,000 (i.e. $600,001 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the lot is not sold because the final winning bid was lower than the reserve price, this market will resolve to "No." Note: this is a market on the final winning bid price, which does not include buyer’s premium, fees, or taxes. If the auction is cancelled altogether or does not finish by February 29, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”.
Resolution source: https://sealed.sothebys.com/ether-rock/auction
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ether-rock-sell-for-over-600k-at-sothebys
| avol | Yes | 177 |
| Joooce | Yes | 51.89 |
| 6257 | Yes | 30.88 |
| Yahav | Yes | 26.32 |
| toppy | Yes | 25.33 |
| guls | Yes | 14.77 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
