Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 15% on 15 Dec 2025. $12.72K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 53.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 1.13K |
| y3321 | Yes | 920 |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethena hit in December?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-december
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 321 |
| cangxingou | Yes | 284.45 |
| wenliangtang | Yes | 273 |
| paodizhi | Yes | 266 |
| kanbusong | Yes | 266 |
| qiexingyi | Yes | 266 |
