
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.9%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.1% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 41.1% on 1 Aug 2026. $507.94 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 7:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 10.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 41.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-july
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