Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 36% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 5 Feb 2026 and the low 0.3% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 9.5% on 8 Feb 2026. $1.76K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 9:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhateverTrevor | Yes | 130 |
| acal | Yes | 110.09 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 3.06 |
| 15rob | Yes | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethena hit in February?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-february
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