Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 24% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 24% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points down, to 4.3% on 20 Jan 2026. $4.4K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 7:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 24.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 403.06 |
| acal | Yes | 334.35 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 249.97 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 214.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethena hit in January?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-january
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 132.98 |
| Keen Pulse 438D | Yes | 131.87 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 108.87 |
| Nils1 | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 96.99 |
