Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 42.5% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 13% on 25 Nov 2025. $24.05K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 5.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.07K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 377.27 |
| lefteye | Yes | 367 |
| oleotourist | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Ethena hit in November?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-november
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 152 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 124 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 109 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 87 |
| BBShove | Yes | 20 |
