Analytics
Yes is at 36%, down 14 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 37.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “What price will Ethena hit in October?”.
$108.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $207.08 since listing. The order book holds $67.95, with a 70.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is acal with 98 shares; the largest No position is GeoffreyHaggai with 108.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GeoffreyHaggai | No | 108.08 |
| SOLinvestigator | No | 99 |
| acal | Yes | 98.08 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-october-2026
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 66 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 33 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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