
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 7 Feb 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 7 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 3.5% on 4 Feb 2025. $16.76K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 3:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 7 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 47.5% |
| 7 Feb 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.5K |
| Fartard | Yes | 1.97K |
| heuer | Yes | 554 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the final “Close” value for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHBTC 07 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) lies. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHBTC "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the fifth decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the ratio according to Binance ETHBTC, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethbtc-price-on-feb-7
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