
Resolved No on 1 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 14 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 14 Apr 2023 to 1 May 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 14 Apr 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 24 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 15% on 15 Apr 2023. $6.4K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 14 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Apr 2023 | 28.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Concerned-Analyst | Yes | 708.16 |
| Chibros | Yes | 625 |
| AlphaA-365 | Yes | 415.02 |
| pumpkinpie | Yes | 156.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 13 Apr '23 12:00 and 30 Apr '23 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eth-hit-2500-by-april-30
| Dense-Discovery | Yes | 0.5 |
| uldis | Yes | 0.42 |
| Plain-Constitution | Yes | 0.33 |
| Tepid-Solitaire | Yes | 0.07 |
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