Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 12 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2024 to 14 Nov 2024, the highest close was 31.5% on 12 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 1.8% on 13 Nov 2024. $72.2K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2024 – 14 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2024 | 31.5% |
| 14 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.67K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 20 |
| sdgsdgxcv | Yes | 0.05 |
| hjfghlkjlg | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
GOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erin Houchin is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-republican-house-conference-chair
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