Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 47% on 9 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 100 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2023 to 29 May 2023 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 29 May 2023 and the lowest 33.9% on 13 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 99.9% on 29 May 2023. $4.82M traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 1:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 9 Feb 2023 – 29 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2023 | 47.0% |
| 29 May 2023 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mte | No | 798.74K |
| Royal Vector 249F | No | 315.01K |
| Clueless-Icing | No | 202.36K |
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the 12th President of Turkey, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Turkish general election, currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-erdogan-win-the-2023-turkish-presidential-election
| No |
| 52.11K |
| Dull-Turnip | No | 22.9K |
| Fond-Crayfish | No | 22.36K |
| Voluminous-Motivation | No | 16.1K |
| Delightful-Darn | No | 15.59K |
| Close-Nephew | No | 13.07K |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | No | 12.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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