Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 150 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 17 Sep 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 23% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 29% on 12 Jun 2026. $310.32 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 1:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 17 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 552.95 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother Argentina 2026. If Big Brother Argentina 2026 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother Argentina 2026 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother Argentina 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-big-brother-argentina-2026
New to prediction markets?
| e46m3 | Yes | 20.18 |
| 0xlost | Yes | 20 |
| coldhot | Yes | 18.53 |
| sinesimd.1 | Yes | 10 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
