Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2025. $146.96K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Guyom | Yes | 5.76K |
| Tremendous-Saving | Yes | 1.43K |
| jonesthemoney | Yes | 1.36K |
| Bogr | Yes | 755.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson recently announced her intention to move out of the U.S. (see: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/elon-musk-daughter-donald-trump-b2643223.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's Daughter Vivian Wilson is confirmed to have moved outside of the U.S. by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Temporarily leaving the United States for a vacation or other short term excursions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence that Vivian Wilson no longer lives in the United Staes, including explicit confirmation from Wilson.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elons-daughter-move-out-of-the-us
| Dominikk | Yes | 461.25 |
| vuiz | Yes | 400 |
| francys | Yes | 250 |
| Ivory Kestrel C55D | Yes | 214.29 |
| WillLrdb | Yes | 214.29 |
| fox1511 | Yes | 200.88 |
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