Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 3 May 2025. $123.59K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 May 2025 – 4 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 0.4% |
| 4 May 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 126.96K |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 5K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3.97K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 1K |
| Cirro1 | Yes | 816.67 |
| OldzFonseca | Yes | 500 |
| Jilibeey | Yes | 113.33 |
| Beeldaajiye | Yes | 55.56 |
| Anunaki | Yes | 12.24 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 9, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-2-9
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