
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.7%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 14% on 19 Aug 2024 and the low 5.3% on 22 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 5.5% on 21 Aug 2024. $26.82K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 6:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 17 Aug 2024 – 22 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 7.5% |
| 22 Aug 2024 | 5.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.67K |
| thaiga | Yes | 16.67 |
| Alicia | No | 0.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Elon Musk # of tweets August 16-23?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-16-23
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