
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 9% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24% on 23 Aug 2024 and the low 9% on 17 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 23% on 21 Aug 2024. $16.7K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 9.0% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.67K |
| turtle2000 | Yes | 195.65 |
| rlrlrlr1 | Yes | 21.05 |
| Slaylorswift | No | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Elon Musk # of tweets August 16-23?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-16-23
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