Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 29 Jul 2024 and the low 2.5% on 30 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 2.5% on 30 Jul 2024. $7K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 7:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 27 Jul 2024 – 30 Jul 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 15.5% |
| 30 Jul 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| aleph-1 | Yes | 50 |
| countryfilter | Yes | 0.63 |
| paehc | No | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Elon tweets
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-26-aug-2
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