- What is the “Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Elon Musk # of tweets August 15-22?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 22, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not… Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($212.83K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
