Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.6%. Yes opened at 7% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 6 Sep 2024 and the low 7% on 4 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 49.5% on 6 Sep 2024. $24.77K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 6 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 7.0% |
| 6 Sep 2024 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.44K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 300 |
| Donke | Yes | 0.08 |
| Crafty-Fatherinlaw | Yes | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the number of posts made by Elon Musk between August 30 and September 6.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-posts-august-30-sept-6
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