Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 6.5% on 14 Jun 2025 and the low 0.1% on 20 Jun 2025. $154.17K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 14 Jun 2025 – 20 Jun 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 6.5% |
| 20 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 297.63K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 4.81K |
| PabloXtreme | Yes | 520 |
| Gullible | Yes | 500 |
| Activeaddiction | Yes | 151.15 |
| Rowdy-Blouse | Yes | 142.86 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 114 |
| ChefCryptoMason | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 79.99 |
| vamnizar | Yes | 64.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between June 13, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-13-20
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