Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 28.5% on 3 Oct 2024 and the low 17.5% on 4 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 17.5% on 4 Oct 2024. $43.41K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 6:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 4 Oct 2024, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 25.0% |
| 4 Oct 2024 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.59K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 504.43 |
| Sharp. | Yes | 402.31 |
| ddxdxd | Yes | 55 |
| Rapid Signal 1856 | Yes | 33.19 |
| MOZIL2 | Yes | 18.52 |
| gorik | Yes | 5.88 |
| masterr | No | 1.22 |
| aleph-869 | No | 0.06 |
| piu | Yes | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 27 and October 4.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-27-oct-4
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