
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 12 Aug 2024 and the low 3.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 3.5% on 14 Aug 2024. $536.89K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 5:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 14 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 18.0% |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.74K |
| retar-dio | Yes | 739.43 |
| johnhjhjh | Yes | 2 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Elon Musk # of tweets August 9-16?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-9-16
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