
Resolved No on 4 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 26 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 28.5% on 29 Apr 2024 and the low 0.1% on 4 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 9% on 1 May 2024. $50.67K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 26 Apr 2024 – 4 May 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2024 | 23.5% |
| 4 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.29K |
| jerusalemsniper13 | Yes | 2.62K |
| radik911 | Yes | 714.29 |
| IDF-General | Yes | 41.67 |
| snn | Yes | 4.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
asda
Resolution source: https://www.xtracker.io/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-times-will-elon-musk-tweet-between-april-26-and-may-3
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