Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 26 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 28 Mar 2025 and the low 12% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 12% on 29 Mar 2025. $8.45K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 4:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 26 Mar 2025 – 29 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2025 | 37.5% |
| 29 Mar 2025 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pounes123456789 | Yes | 22 |
| RvstudioLab | Yes | 21.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Elon Musk is scheduled to sit for an interview with Bret Baier on March 27, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2025/03/25/elon-musk-doge-interview-fox-news-bret-baier This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by Musk, or otherwise is not released by March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has been released in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the released has not been released in its entirety by March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no interview is released by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-elon-say-during-baier-interview
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