Analytics
Resolved No on 14 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.2%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 14 May 2025, the highest close was 66.5% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 24.8% on 14 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 24.8% on 14 May 2025. $1.63K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 May 2025 – 14 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 66.5% |
| 14 May 2025 | 24.8% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Elon Musk is scheduled to speak at the Saudi-US investment forum on May 13, at 10:40 AM ET (https://saudi-usinvestmentforum.com/program-at-a-glance.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled speech Elon gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-elon-say-during-saudi-us-investment-forum-on-may-13
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