Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 29 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 6.6% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Mar 2025. $12.02K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 29 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | 4.3% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk is presently playing Path of Exile 2 under the name of Fatalismftw. He is currently ranked #3 on the Hardcore League leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fatalismftw reaches #1 on the Path of Exile 2 Hardcore League leaderboard by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable before this market's expiration date, and Elon Musk has not yet reached the #1 rank, this market will resolve to "No". If the Fatalismftw character dies before this market's end date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the above described leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-reach-1-in-path-of-exile-2-before-march
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