Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 23 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2023 to 2 Jul 2023, the highest close was 29.5% on 23 Jun 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 19% on 25 Jun 2023. $126.19K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 23 Jun 2023 – 2 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2023 | 29.5% |
| 2 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spherical-Tribe | Yes | 2.97K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 1.42K |
| Happy-Judgment | Yes | 1.06K |
| AlexisTocqueville | Yes | 467.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg both announce that they have agreed to fight one another by July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “announcement” will be defined as Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg publicly confirming that a physical fight will take place. The fight itself does not need to take place prior to July 1 for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be any statements issued directly by both Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg which confirm that a fight will take place.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-and-zuck-announce-a-fight
| cmidujwd293 | Yes | 333.43 |
| RelativeValueSasquatch | Yes | 252.09 |
| Large-Pomelo | Yes | 200 |
| GiggidyGiggidy | Yes | 166.67 |
| fei | Yes | 157.14 |
| R3mix | Yes | 150 |
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