Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 7 May 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 23% on 13 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23% on 13 Mar 2026.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 7 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most disciplinary cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Europa League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/?sortBy=red_cards&order=desc). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/?sortBy=red_cards&order=desc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-europa-league-most-cards
| No |
| 0.06 |
| sdgfyjuSAEf | No | 0.06 |
| dgsertgresg | No | 0.06 |
| ftgdsgst | No | 0.06 |
| AestheticVoid | No | 0.06 |
| gfbrdxsgnftdcn | No | 0.06 |
| SKDUGFVUSD | No | 0.05 |
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