Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 16 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 2.1% on 14 Dec 2025. $13.63K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 16, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 16 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 16 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.78K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 657 |
| zhugejin | Yes | 285.71 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 246 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 217 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 192 |
| leowin | Yes | 166.67 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 164 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 159 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to how much "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 12 - December 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by December 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ella-mccay-opening-weekend-box-office
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