
Resolved No on 4 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 3 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 3% on 3 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 4 Nov 2024. $146 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 9:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Nov 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2024 | 3.0% |
| 4 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 318.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the New York City Marathon.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-marathon-winner
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