Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 188 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 19 Jun 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 8 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 75 points down, to 1.7% on 20 Dec 2025. $14.54K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 4:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 19 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.69K |
| Nam4 | Yes | 310.41 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 275.11 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner
New to prediction markets?
| Solar Raven 6854 | No | 177.36 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 156.63 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 58.12 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 50 |
| Vollhorst | Yes | 50 |
| abc1231112441 | Yes | 32.14 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
