Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 16 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2025 to 31 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 30 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 22 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 98 points up, to 99.5% on 28 Mar 2025. $2.03M traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 12:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 16 Feb 2025 – 31 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2025 | 5.5% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eightsheet | No | 15K |
| YourPresident | No | 10K |
| duderr | No | 1.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of listed individual resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only announcements of resignations before the listed individuals scheduled term in that position is up will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-fire-in-first-100-days
| No |
| 1K |
| umegaoka | No | 200 |
| collectorr | No | 10 |
| JaidenAnimations | No | 10 |
| ZIR | No | 2.13 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
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