Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 59% on 16 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2023 to 5 Nov 2023, the highest close was 99.9% on 5 Nov 2023 and the lowest 6% on 26 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 91.5% on 2 Nov 2023. $58.3K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 16 Oct 2023 – 5 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2023 | 59.0% |
| 5 Nov 2023 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nugget-776 | No | 73.85 |
| Nicholas van Eerde | No | 70.43 |
| Lazarus23-223 | No | 62.67 |
| Peterson1 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-egypt-open-its-border-for-palestinian-refugees-by-nov-1
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