
Resolved No on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.8%. Yes opened at 48% on 21 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 21 Feb 2026 and the low 4% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 19% on 24 Feb 2026. $995.25 traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 21 Feb 2026 – 3 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 11.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.25K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 553.76 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 197 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 136.96 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 105.27 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 100 |
| Unique-Index | Yes | 67.68 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 60 |
| paspor | Yes | 58.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the winner of the VALORANT Masters Santiago 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for February 28th - March 15th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://valorantesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Stage_1/Masters) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-masters-santiago-2026-winner
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