Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61.5%. Yes opened at 94.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 94.5% on 4 Sep 2026 and the low 60% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 60.5% on 6 Sep 2026. $298.68 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 3:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 4 Sep 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 94.5% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nbs8 | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 49.99 |
| before2027 | No | 35.69 |
| jackli003 | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-king-harald-vs-funeral
New to prediction markets?
