Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.9%. Yes opened at 67% on 11 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2024 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 28 Jan 2024 and the lowest 67% on 11 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 88.8% on 31 Jan 2024. $23.98K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Jan 2024 – 1 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2024 | 67.0% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 88.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigTexNatty | Yes | 67.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remains free from government custody and active through January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ecuadorian-drug-lord-fito-remain-at-large-throughout-january
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
