Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 19 Jul 2026, the highest close was 57% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 6 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 51% on 8 Jul 2026. $416.23 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The World Cup Final is scheduled to occur on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by an official performer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as "played" an official performer at the FIFA World Cup Final Halftime show must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-songs-will-be-played-at-the-world-cup-halftime-show-20260704165911487
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
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