Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 38.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $93.99 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 47.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-draft-player-to-be-drafted-in-the-top-5-20260706190258850
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