
Resolved No on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 19 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2025 to 4 May 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 19 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 11.5% on 20 Apr 2025. $21.2K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 19 Apr 2025 – 4 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2025 | 52.5% |
| 4 May 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.11K |
| theamityaff | No | 0.01 |
| bigboops | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by Dream gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Dream does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<500k". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Dream's YouTube channel (@dream), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to Dream's announced next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-next-dream-video-on-day-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page