Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 55% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.7% on 22 Jul 2025 and the low 0.4% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 58.5% on 15 Apr 2025. $75.48K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 9 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 1.67K |
| MrdanP | Yes | 635.45 |
| SadderNigel | Yes | 552.61 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between April 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| betaverse | Yes | 156.03 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| -MrBets | Yes | 147.44 |
| JieMoney | Yes | 138.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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