Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 May 2026.
$3.42K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 5:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 15 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ruaxor | No | 1.07K |
| Macaquinhus | No | 150 |
| shdkksnsns | No | 145.05 |
| MrCluck | No | 59.99 |
| butterbutter | No | 50 |
| Lvrya | No | 50 |
| niglette | No | 30.95 |
| Colala | No | 30 |
| omahswrld | No | 27 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 21.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album excluding ICEMAN between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any project confirmed to be the ICEMAN project will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution, regardless of potential name changes. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-a-surprise-album
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