Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 41 points from 41% when the market opened on 9 Jan 2026.
Across the 266 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 0.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 14.5% on 17 Mar 2026.
Drake ranks sixth of the 16 outcomes in “Billboard #1 Artist 2026”. Morgan Wallen leads at 91%; Taylor Swift is at 4%.
$2.77K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.64K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 106 trades, $45.21 bought Yes and $441.52 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 298 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 86.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 266 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 41.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.24K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 298 |
| Spiffy-Win | Yes | 277.23 |
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/billboard-1-artist-2026
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| jackli003 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| jwd103103 | Yes | 191.8 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 148.48 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 145 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 125.56 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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