Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 49% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 18 Aug 2026, the highest close was 82% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 80 points down, to 2.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $5.6K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 18 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 18 Aug 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Colorful-Casket | Yes | 897 |
| tianqizhishen | Yes | 549 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-20260812183618499
| Yes |
| 50 |
| zpdial | Yes | 36.18 |
| Zlickness | Yes | 30.3 |
| Neon Pioneer 64D7 | Yes | 14.53 |
| Amber Pulse 20C2 | No | 10.11 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Bright Voyager 7953 | Yes | 6 |
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