Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $4.24K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 1:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 6.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.33K |
| BlackGoku97 | Yes | 254.05 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Swift Atlas 45FA | Yes | 176.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the 2026 White House Correspondents's Association Dinner, currently scheduled for April 25, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by April 30, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-tie-color-at-the-whca-dinner
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 149.01 |
| degenpress | Yes | 99.28 |
| Golden Maven 11F9 | Yes | 96.15 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 89.44 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 56.83 |
| Royal Falcon 02ED | Yes | 52.48 |
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