Will Donald Trump's tie be red on April 24, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.9K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 52% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026, the highest close was 52% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 25% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 25% on 25 Apr 2026. $2.89K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:09 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Apr 2026	52.0%
25 Apr 2026	25.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.06K
cry.eth2	Yes	300
degenpress	Yes	242.53
0xRocket666	Yes	200

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.