Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3% on 28 Feb 2026. $6.38K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.88K |
| Courteous-Millisecond | Yes | 159.1 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during remarks in Corpus Christi, currently scheduled for February 27, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-tie-color-during-remarks-in-corpus-christi
| LazarilloDTormes | Yes | 54.09 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| Kovak | Yes | 39.44 |
| peshkata | Yes | 35.04 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 33 |
| Quiet Maven BCAF | Yes | 28.57 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
