Will Donald Trump's tie be red?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.

$4.45K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 1:13 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jul 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
aimforthebushes	Yes	1.99K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	695.93
PoliPil0t	Yes	237.51
trickykid	Yes	59.72
.Menthe	Yes	50
politeste	Yes	41.78
qcp14	Yes	21
DieterHanswurst	Yes	20
Radziu	Yes	20
Handsome-Material	Yes	20

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner currently scheduled for July 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.