Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 5, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.

$1.8K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 5 Aug 2026, chart shows 6%–18%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Aug 2026	12.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	937.29
Anon321321	Yes	131
TENETENET	Yes	100
qcp14	Yes	91.26
Shy-Note	Yes	80
.Menthe	Yes	49.99
Bold Signal 21AB	Yes	30.73
BillLiamNaire	Yes	30
Cosmic Tide 4193	Yes	28.06
dixiedox	Yes	20

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump his remarks in Las Vegas currently scheduled for August 5, 2026. The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.