Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 25% on 28 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2025 to 30 Jun 2025, the highest close was 25% on 28 Jun 2025 and the lowest 6% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 10.5% on 29 Jun 2025. $217.12 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Jun 2025 – 30 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2025 | 25.0% |
| 30 Jun 2025 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 5 |
| Droogg | Yes | 2 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 1.9 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sign-an-executive-order-on-june-28-july-4
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