Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 5 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2025 to 11 Jul 2025, the highest close was 55% on 9 Jul 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 11 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 7.5% on 11 Jul 2025. $2.23K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jul 2025 – 11 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2025 | 52.0% |
| 11 Jul 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 10.29 |
| SergioMS | Yes | 7.81 |
| Stewarthjr | Yes | 1.22 |
| EdgarStrazzullo | Yes | 1.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sign-an-executive-order-on-july-5-july-11
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